@article {420, title = {A model selection algorithm for a posteriori probability estimation with neural networks}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks}, volume = {16}, year = {2005}, pages = {799-809}, abstract = {

This paper proposes a novel algorithm to jointly determine the structure and the parameters of a posteriori probability model based on neural networks (NNs). It makes use of well-known ideas of pruning, splitting, and merging neural components and takes advantage of the probabilistic interpretation of these components. The algorithm, so called a posteriori probability model selection (PPMS), is applied to an NN architecture called the generalized softmax perceptron (GSP) whose outputs can be understood as probabilities although results shown can be extended to more general network architectures. Learning rules are derived from the application of the expectation-maximization algorithm to the GSP-PPMS structure. Simulation results show the advantages of the proposed algorithm with respect to other schemes. {\^A}{\textcopyright} 2005 IEEE.

}, keywords = {Algorithms, Automated, Biological, Breast Neoplasms, Computer simulation, Computer-Assisted, Computing Methodologies, Decision Support Techniques, Diagnosis, Estimation, Expectation-maximization, Generalized Softmax Perceptron (GSP), Humans, Mathematical models, Model selection, Models, Neural Networks (Computer), Neural networks, Numerical Analysis, Objective function, Pattern recognition, Posterior probability, Probability, Statistical, Stochastic Processes, algorithm, article, artificial neural network, automated pattern recognition, biological model, breast tumor, classification, cluster analysis, computer analysis, computer assisted diagnosis, decision support system, evaluation, human, mathematical computing, methodology, statistical model, statistics}, issn = {10459227}, doi = {10.1109/TNN.2005.849826}, url = {http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-23044459586\&partnerID=40\&md5=f00e7d86a625cfc466373a2a938276d0}, author = {J I Arribas and Jes{\'u}s Cid-Sueiro} } @article {409, title = {Cost functions to estimate a posteriori probabilities in multiclass problems}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks}, volume = {10}, year = {1999}, pages = {645-656}, abstract = {

The problem of designing cost functions to estimate a posteriori probabilities in multiclass problems is addressed in this paper. We establish necessary and sufficient conditions that these costs must satisfy in one-class one-output networks whose outputs are consistent with probability laws. We focus our attention on a particular subset of the corresponding cost functions; those which verify two usually interesting properties: symmetry and separability (well-known cost functions, such as the quadratic cost or the cross entropy are particular cases in this subset). Finally, we present a universal stochastic gradient learning rule for single-layer networks, in the sense of minimizing a general version of these cost functions for a wide family of nonlinear activation functions.

}, keywords = {Cost functions, Estimation, Functions, Learning algorithms, Multiclass problems, Neural networks, Pattern recognition, Probability, Problem solving, Random processes, Stochastic gradient learning rule}, issn = {10459227}, doi = {10.1109/72.761724}, url = {http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0032643080\&partnerID=40\&md5=d528195bd6ec84531e59ddd2ececcd46}, author = {Jes{\'u}s Cid-Sueiro and J I Arribas and S Urban-Munoz and A R Figueiras-Vidal} } @conference {411, title = {Neural architectures for parametric estimation of a posteriori probabilities by constrained conditional density functions}, booktitle = {Neural Networks for Signal Processing - Proceedings of the IEEE Workshop}, year = {1999}, publisher = {IEEE, Piscataway, NJ, United States}, organization = {IEEE, Piscataway, NJ, United States}, address = {Madison, WI, USA}, abstract = {

A new approach to the estimation of {\textquoteright}a posteriori{\textquoteright} class probabilities using neural networks, the Joint Network and Data Density Estimation (JNDDE), is presented in this paper. It is based on the estimation of the conditional data density functions, with some restrictions imposed by the classifier structure; the Bayes{\textquoteright} rule is used to obtain the {\textquoteright}a posteriori{\textquoteright} probabilities from these densities. The proposed method is applied to three different network structures: the logistic perceptron (for the binary case), the softmax perceptron (for multi-class problems) and a generalized softmax perceptron (that can be used to map arbitrarily complex probability functions). Gaussian mixture models are used for the conditional densities. The method has the advantage of establishing a distinction between the network parameters and the model parameters. Complexity on any of them can be fixed as desired. Maximum Likelihood gradient-based rules for the estimation of the parameters can be obtained. It is shown that JNDDE exhibits a more robust convergence characteristics than other methods of a posteriori probability estimation, such as those based on the minimization of a Strict Sense Bayesian (SSB) cost function.

}, keywords = {Asymptotic stability, Constraint theory, Data structures, Gaussian mixture models, Joint network and data density estimation, Mathematical models, Maximum likelihood estimation, Neural networks, Probability}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1109/NNSP.1999.788145}, url = {http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0033321049\&partnerID=40\&md5=7967fa377810cc0c3e6a4d9020024b80}, author = {J I Arribas and Jes{\'u}s Cid-Sueiro and T Adali and A R Figueiras-Vidal} }